--- title: Sealed Results on Peat, Water and Wildfire | Vireo Nature description: Peat depth, water quality, wildfire and biodiversity net gain results, each declared and filed before scoring on ground the model never saw. image: https://www.vireonature.com/hubfs/og2_results.jpg --- [Skip to content](https://www.vireonature.com/results#main) [**New**Launch price: the first ten sites get the Site Evidence Pack at £3,600. Check whether your site qualifiesLaunch offer: £3,600 a site. 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Peat, water, wildfire and biodiversity, all held to one standard. Every number carries its tier. Sealed: the prediction was declared and filed before scoring. Tested: scored on data the model never saw. Headline results ### Declared before it is scored. Scored once. Published either way. 28.422.9 **22.9 v 28.4 cm**Peat depth error against the England Peat Map, 186 independent sites*Sealed* **18 of 18**Held-out survey programmes where the map beat kriging on deep peat*Tested* 0.360.6401 **0.36 to 0.64**Stream water skill once neighbouring layers join, 870 unseen sites*Sealed* **31 tests**Each declared before scoring and published whichever way it falls*Register* Vireo sealed-test register, October 2026. The detail of each test follows. Peat · England 22.9 v 28.4 cm At the 837 National Soil Inventory sites in England, which are independent of both models' training data, the Vireo national model's depth error at peat sites is lower than the England Peat Map's: 22.9 against 28.4 cm across all 186 peat sites, and 23.7 against 31.9 cm across the 145 peat sites that fall inside the England Peat Map's mapped extent. Ranking is level on both populations. Natural England publishes a mean error of 20.8 cm for the England Peat Map. That figure comes from a different test, on a random share of the map's own survey records, and is not comparable with the result above. This is an England result. Vireo has used these sites in three tests, so they are independent of training but are not an unused held-out set. The England Peat Map is better at saying where there is no peat: it leaves 504 of 582 peat-free sites outside its mapped extent. Sealed Peat · Scotland 38 cm Under-reads deep peat less than standard mapping (compared with kriging, a standard interpolation method), at 400 m probe spacing (90% interval 32 to 46 cm) Scored on 113 restoration grant sites the model had never seen. Vireo beat kriging on 103 of the 110 with deep peat. Sealed Peat · Wales 78% Of Welsh peat depths fell inside 80% ranges, statistically on target (interval 74.8% to 80.1%) Ranges set entirely from English and Scottish ground, then scored on Welsh survey sites the model had never seen. The method travels. Sealed Water · North of Ireland 0.36 → 0.64 Stream-water prediction skill, up once connected data was added (higher is better) 870 sites in the north of Ireland, held back in 40 blocks and never seen by the model. Sealed Water · England 0.61 v 0.53 Orthophosphate prediction skill, ahead of the 0.53 comparator Nutrient evidence for water companies, planning and price-control decisions. Sealed Wildfire · Brazil F1 0.78 Agreement with NASA's MODIS burned-area product (F1 score, where 1 is perfect) Pantanal 2024, mapped from Sentinel-2 imagery. Burn extents an insurer or land manager can price. Sealed Biodiversity net gain 48 of 49 Parcels where the statutory metric was reproduced An independent re-test of the biodiversity figure a planning consent rests on. Tested Rivers · Ireland 730 River biology stations in a sealed test that passed its pre-set mark What a river carries and why, read at catchment scale for water companies and regulators. Sealed Reproducibility Identical 203,079 predictions, every morning The same inputs give the same answer, day after day. Verified daily ![Bar chart: share of measured Welsh peat depths falling inside the Vireo range, by predicted depth, against an 80% target line](https://www.vireonature.com/hubfs/wal2_1.jpg) Wales: share of measured peat depths inside the range, by predicted depth, against the 80% target. Sealed. ![Map of burned area across the Pantanal wetland, Brazil, in 2024, read by Vireo from Sentinel-2 imagery](https://www.vireonature.com/hubfs/pan2_1.jpg) Pantanal 2024 burn map, read from Sentinel-2 imagery. Sealed. The sealed evidence chain ## Declared before the answer is known. Scored once. Kept on the record. ### Declare Data, test and pass mark fixed before the answer is seen. ### Fingerprint and timestamp Each declaration is fingerprinted and timestamped on the Bitcoin blockchain, a public clock outside Vireo's control. ### Score once By a separate scorer. Builders never score their own work. ### Review Independent review signs off every result before it reaches a client. ### Record Every result is kept on a record a lender, verifier or regulator can check. ### One worked example **6 Oct 2026, 08:04 UTC: declared and stamped***Measures, held-back sites and pass marks fixed. Public fingerprint 9c6b50b1.* **870 stream sites held back***In 40 blocks of 10 km, never seen by the model. North of Ireland.* **Scored once** 0.36 → 0.64 *Skill, before and after neighbouring water, sediment and soil measurements were added.* Why it matters ### A track record that cannot be written after the fact Because every prediction is declared and filed before the answer is known, the record proves itself. A lender, verifier or regulator does not have to take our word for it. ## Hold your site to the same standard. Three details. A reply within two working days. Work email Site or route What do you need?Choose oneSite Evidence PackCorridor Evidence PackSite AssessmentEvidence for client workIndependent re-testRestoration evidence Send us your site We use your details to reply to this request. [Privacy notice](https://www.vireonature.com/privacy) ## Related guides and services - [How the Vireo Neural Map works →](https://www.vireonature.com/how-it-works) - [Natural capital data sources →](https://www.vireonature.com/data) - [How accurate is the England Peat Map? →](https://www.vireonature.com/insights/england-peat-map-accuracy) ![Vireo Nature](https://www.vireonature.com/hs-fs/hubfs/logo_rev_1.png?width=96&height=46&name=logo_rev_1.png) © 2026 Vireo Nature · [Privacy notice](https://www.vireonature.com/privacy) [How it works](https://www.vireonature.com/how-it-works)[Results](https://www.vireonature.com/results)[Data sources](https://www.vireonature.com/data)[Offers and pricing](https://www.vireonature.com/offers)[Report](https://www.vireonature.com/report)[Insights](https://www.vireonature.com/insights)[Site Evidence Pack](https://www.vireonature.com/pre-survey-pack)[Corridor Evidence Pack](https://www.vireonature.com/inside-a-corridor) [LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/company/146700865)[Bluesky](https://bsky.app/profile/vireonature.com) Occasional updates on the Neural Map and new sealed results. Work email Sign up I agree to receive occasional updates from Vireo Nature and to Vireo Nature storing my email for this. Unsubscribe any time. Figures as at October 2026. They describe what exists today, not forecasts. Data: Copernicus Sentinel-2 and Copernicus DEM (modified), NASA MODIS MCD64A1, Tellus survey. [Send us your site](https://www.vireonature.com/#talk) ```json { "@context" : "https://schema.org", "@id" : "https://www.vireonature.com/#org", "@type" : "Organization", "description" : "Checkable evidence under decisions about nature: land, water, habitat, carbon and biodiversity, with a range on every figure.", "email" : "sales@vireonature.com", "logo" : "https://149697625.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/149697625/logo_rev_1.png", "name" : "Vireo Nature", "sameAs" : [ "https://www.linkedin.com/company/146700865", "https://bsky.app/profile/vireonature.com" ], "url" : "https://www.vireonature.com" } ``` ```json { "@context" : "https://schema.org", "@type" : "Service", "areaServed" : [ "United Kingdom", "Ireland" ], "description" : "A desk screen (peat depth with its range, ground motion, surface change and water held on a 50 m grid) and a walkable probe plan aimed where the ranges are widest.", "name" : "Site Evidence Pack", "provider" : { "@id" : "https://www.vireonature.com/#org" }, "serviceType" : "Peat depth screen and probe plan", "url" : "https://www.vireonature.com/offers" } ``` ```json { "@context" : "https://schema.org", "@type" : "Service", "areaServed" : [ "United Kingdom", "Ireland" ], "description" : "A calibrated depth, volume and carbon read from your own probes, with a range and an evidence tier on every number.", "name" : "Site Assessment", "provider" : { "@id" : "https://www.vireonature.com/#org" }, "serviceType" : "Calibrated peat depth, volume and carbon read", "url" : "https://www.vireonature.com/offers" } ``` ```json { "@context" : "https://schema.org", "@type" : "Service", "areaServed" : [ "United Kingdom", "Ireland" ], "description" : "A screen and probe plan for a site or route, so the peat survey for your environmental statement goes where it matters.", "name" : "Peat depth screening for wind, solar and grid routes", "provider" : { "@id" : "https://www.vireonature.com/#org" }, "serviceType" : "Peat screen for wind and infrastructure routes", "url" : "https://www.vireonature.com/offers" } ``` ```json { "@context" : "https://schema.org", "@type" : "Service", "description" : "Screens and calibrated reads under your own client work, and bespoke projects designed with your team.", "name" : "Evidence behind your advice", "provider" : { "@id" : "https://www.vireonature.com/#org" }, "serviceType" : "Evidence for consultancies", "url" : "https://www.vireonature.com/offers" } ``` ```json { "@context" : "https://schema.org", "@type" : "Service", "description" : "A sealed test of a figure someone else produced: the prediction is locked before the values are released, then scored once.", "name" : "Independent re-test", "provider" : { "@id" : "https://www.vireonature.com/#org" }, "serviceType" : "Independent verification of environmental figures", "url" : "https://www.vireonature.com/offers" } ``` ```json { "@context" : "https://schema.org", "@type" : "Service", "description" : "Condition, surface change and bog breathing across a restored site, read against its baseline.", "name" : "Restoration outcome evidence", "provider" : { "@id" : "https://www.vireonature.com/#org" }, "serviceType" : "Peatland restoration monitoring", "url" : "https://www.vireonature.com/offers" } ```